Lisa-Marie Rioux vs Nana Kawagishi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Rioux has won 36.62% of points on their second serve recently, compared to Kawagishi's 40.88%. Could Kawagishi's stronger second serve edge the match in their favor?
• On second serve returns, Kawagishi leads slightly, having won 52.75% of points versus Rioux's 50.87%. However, Rioux has a minor advantage on first serve returns with 33.59% to Kawagishi's 32.3%.
• Both players save breakpoints at a 46.62% rate, suggesting a level playing field under pressure situations.
• Rioux has a better overall match win rate over the last year, at 54.05%, whereas Kawagishi stands at 42.86%. Who will utilize this advantage?
• Rioux excels on grass (57% win rate), while Kawagishi performs best on hard courts (52%), yet struggles on grass (33%). Could the surface play a decisive role?
• Rioux holds a 62.5% win rate in Challenger/ITF tournaments, surpassing Kawagishi's 50% in the same category.
• In their direct encounters, Rioux has triumphed all 3 times, winning 6 of 8 sets against Kawagishi, including their last match on carpet 6-3, 6-2.
• In deciding set situations, Rioux has won once against Kawagishi, who is yet to secure a deciding set victory.
• The average opponent rank faced by Rioux is higher (455.73) than Kawagishi's (402.8), but this hasn't stopped Rioux from having successful head-to-head results.
• Kawagishi has been more proficient at break point conversion recently, scoring at 48.75%, compared to Rioux’s 36.25%.

Editorial Prediction (June 4, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Rioux and Kawagishi presents a compelling showdown. Despite Rioux's lower second serve performance, her formidable record in their head-to-head clashes indicates a strong psychological edge.

Kawagishi's slightly better return stats and superior break point conversion could pose significant challenges. However, Rioux has been more consistent on the whole, with a higher win rate over the last year and a clean sweep in their previous meetings.

Surface preference may play a critical role; while neither has an overwhelming current streak, Rioux's overall match performance momentum gives her an edge.

Taking all factors into account, Lisa-Marie Rioux appears to be the likely favorite to win this match.